By Riccardo Rebonato
Based at the author's broad paintings, study and displays within the zone, the publication fills a niche in quantitative probability administration by means of introducing a brand new and intensely intuitively beautiful method of rigidity trying out in accordance with professional judgement and Bayesian networks. It constitutes an intensive departure from the conventional statistical methodologies in response to financial Capital or Extreme-Value-Theory approaches.
The publication is divided into 4 components. half I appears to be like at tension trying out and at its function in glossy possibility administration. It discusses the differences among threat and uncertainty, the differing kinds of chance which are utilized in threat administration this present day and for which initiatives they're most sensible used. tension checking out is situated as a bridge among the statistical components the place VaR might be powerful and the area of overall Keynesian uncertainty. half II lays down the quantitative foundations for the techniques defined within the remainder of the publication. half III takes readers throughout the program of the instruments mentioned partially II, and introduces assorted systematic techniques to acquiring a coherent pressure trying out output which may fulfill the wishes of clients and regulators. partially IV the writer addresses simpler questions resembling embedding the feedback of the e-book right into a possible governance structure.
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Coherent Stress Testing: A Bayesian Approach to the Analysis of Financial Stress (The Wiley Finance Series) by Riccardo Rebonato